Tag: Trade Policy
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The AI Infrastructure Leverage Framework
Governments can shape AI by using infrastructure, energy, and regulation as bargaining tools to secure compute-sharing, data residency, and public benefits without nationalizing private firms.
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The Atomic Bomb We Haven’t Faced (Yet)
Does Anthropic’s Mythos change cybersecurity or is it overhyped? While AI lowers the barrier for cyberattacks, Europe’s biggest challenge remains enforcing NIS2, with human error still the weakest link.
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Terrorism Spillover in the Sahel
Terrorism spillover is driven by cross-border mobility, recruitment, and local grievances. Ghana demonstrates how resilient institutions and community trust can reduce the risk of extremist expansion despite its proximity to the Sahel.
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WTO Appellate Body Crisis: Who Really Loses?
How has the paralysis of the WTO’s Appellate Body since 2019 affected members unequally? While larger economies have adapted through the MPIA and bilateral settlements, smaller members lack the legal capacity and leverage to navigate the post-AB order. With the US absent from the MPIA and reform efforts stalled, the crisis has shifted the trading…
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Policy Paper: The Cost of Unpredictability
Main question: how can policymakers address and navigate current geopolitical situation? Argument: Due to the absence of a central authority in the international system, states must rely on self-help. Conclusion: Policymakers should therefore adopt a hedging strategy by diversifying sector-specific partnerships in critical domains such as energy security, supply chains, and digital infrastructure, as heavy…
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The Weak Yen Trap
Q: Does Japan’s dollar exposure prevent the BoJ from raising rates? Arg: Low rates fuel carry trades that weaken the yen, while $1T+ in U.S. Treasuries ties Japan to U.S. monetary cycles — a self-reinforcing trap. Concl: Gradual normalisation is the best exit, but political pressures keep the status quo attractive.
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The Euro as an international currency
– Should the ECB push the Euro internationally to incentivise smaller economies to take the Euro on as their anchor currency? – The general trend point towards a de-risking internationally with countries increasingly preferring baskets over a single currency, and the most attractive policy remains domestic stability. – The ECB should not let itself be…
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The Euro: Power without Autonomy?
Main question: Why has the euro’s monetary power not translated into full EU strategic autonomy? Argument: While the euro functions as a growing geoeconomic tool (sanctions, trade, finance), its impact is constrained by EMU’s incomplete architecture, dollar dominance, and fragmented political and financial integration. Conclusion: Without deeper fiscal, financial, and political union, the euro cannot…
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Digital Currencies and their Implications
1. Asks how the introduction of the digital euro could impact International Relations, through changes in monetary power. 2. The digital euro could strengthen the European Union by increasing monetary sovereignty, reducing reliance on U.S.-based payment systems, and expanding the EU’s regulatory influence globally. 3. The paper concludes that the digital euro could enhance the…
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Dollar Dominance and Competing Currencies
What is the future of dollar dominance? This report argues the dollar will not be displaced despite geopolitical tensions and digital innovation, due to its structural and infrastructural advantages. Instead, the system is becoming more fragmented and multipolar. By 2050, the dollar remains central but but no longer uncontested.