Tag: Conflict Prevention

  • THE WAR IN SUDAN

    The article examines how authoritarian collapse, elite division, and foreign proxies shape Sudan’s war. Using neo-realist and political marketplace theories, it argues that state breakdown allowed external actors to transform internal struggles into a regionalized conflict fueled by resource networks. Lasting peace depends on dismantling the transnational economic networks sustaining violence, not just elite power-sharing.

  • What Is Deterrence? Core Concepts and Distinctions

    What Is Deterrence? Core Concepts and Distinctions

    Prevention via Cost-Benefit Calculus: Deterrence aims to persuade an adversary that the costs and risks of an offensive action far outweigh any potential gains, thereby maintaining the status quo. Credibility and Capability: Success requires both the actual military capacity to act and the perceived resolve to follow through. Without clear communication and credibility, even the…

  • Norway’s Most Important Peace Project

    Norway’s Most Important Peace Project

    – How does Norway’s new Arctic Strategy transform what was once “Norway’s most important peace project” into a cornerstone of national and European security? – The strategy marks a clear shift from cooperation with Russia and environmental focus toward a “total defence” model that integrates military, civilian, and infrastructural preparedness across society. – Norway’s Arctic…

  • Taiwan Is Not Ukraine

    Taiwan Is Not Ukraine

    Is Taiwan really the next Ukraine? Amid rising tensions in the Indo-Pacific, Lenaïg Deslandes challenges the increasingly common comparison between China’s ambitions toward Taiwan and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. She argues that despite superficial similarities, the two powers’ expansionist strategies diverge sharply—Russia favouring military revisionism, China pursuing gradual, grey-zone statecraft. By unpacking these differences, Deslandes…

  • Caribbean Flashpoint

    Caribbean Flashpoint

    1. The article explores how recent U.S. military actions in the southern Caribbean challenge international law and regional sovereignty. 2.The U.S. crackdown on “narco-terrorists” expands military powers, provoking Venezuelan resistance and deeper Russian and Chinese support for Caracas. 3.These moves heighten Caribbean tensions, making diplomacy and respect for international norms crucial to avoid escalation.

  • 2025 Annual Civil-Military Cooperation Foresight Conference Report

    2025 Annual Civil-Military Cooperation Foresight Conference Report

    – How can CIMIC adapt to modern unconventional methods like humanitarian crises, political instability and evolving security threats. – CIMIC should evolve by taking in account both civilian and military opinions and integrating new doctrines. – Adaptation is urgent. CIMIC must act as a bridge between military logistics and humanitarian needs to navigate unconventional political…

  • AI as the space race of the 21st century

    AI as the space race of the 21st century

    – Does AI pose a threat to security and foreign policy due to the possibility of disinformation campaigns against the backdrop of technological advantages other nations? – The targeted dissemination of false information can influence the sentiment of the respective population or politicians themselves and can be part of hybrid warfare. – It is therefore…

  • Israel’s Use of Force: Legal or Dangerous Shift?

    Israel’s Use of Force: Legal or Dangerous Shift?

    Is Israel redrawing the boundaries of international law by force? This article examines Israel’s justification of pre-emptive self-defence against Iran and argues it lacks legal basis under Article 51 of the UN Charter. Without evidence of an actual or imminent armed attack, such actions violate international law and risk eroding global legal norms, setting a…

  • China’s New Balancing Act: India-Pakistan

    China’s New Balancing Act: India-Pakistan

    How can China maintain its alliance with Pakistan without worsening tensions with India or risking conflict? Deep ties between China and Pakistan fuel Indian perceptions of mistrust thus risking regional or proxy conflict, especially in light of Indian rise to global power. China should pursue a strategy of equidistance by balancing Pakistani ties while building…

  • AI in Conflict Prevention

    AI in Conflict Prevention

    What are the potentials and challenges of the use of AI in conflict prevention? The integration of AI demands inclusive governance frameworks, ethical reflection, and sustained interdisciplinary collaboration. To ensure that AI serves as a force for peace rather than an instrument of surveillance or control, future efforts must center on transparent, participatory, and context-sensitive…