Tag: Conflict Prevention
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The Future of War Is Hybrid
Hybrid warfare is shaping the future of conflict by expanding battlefields beyond the military domain, leveraging political, economic, and societal pressures. Drawing from Clausewitz, Johann Schmid argues that defense remains stronger than offense, but hybrid strategies exploit grey areas and strategic ambiguity to circumvent strong defenses. As warfare blurs the lines between war and peace,…
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Report of the 23rd Berlin Security Conference
Main Question: How does the Middle East crisis impact European security? Argument: The conflict exacerbates societal tensions, strains migration systems, adds disinformation and polarization and strengthens Iran-Russia ties. Conclusion: A coordinated EU approach is crucial to address these challenges, balancing humanitarian aid, social cohesion, and geopolitical resilience.
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Politics and Complexity
How can structural factors and complex systems analysis enhance our understanding of political instability? Traditional theories like realism and Marxism fail to capture the multifactorial dynamics of political systems. Structural Demographic Theory offers a superior framework by examining demographics, elite interactions and state legitimacy through feedback mechanisms. By applying SDT, policymakers gain a powerful tool…
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The Conflict in Myanmar is Escalating
The main question is what lies in the future ahead for Myanmar. For it I make a comparison with the conflict in the Congo back in the 90s as well as see the different position of foreign actors. My conclusion is that the military might lose power but that wont necearily bring peace to region.
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Miscalculation at Machine Speed?
Advanced AI and Machine Learning systems could challenge the nuclear balance of power by undermining mutually assured destruction.
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Unlocking Asia’s Defense Potential: From Minilateral Ties to an ‘Asian NATO’?
Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba called for an “Asian NATO” to address growing security threats. However, the proposal faces criticism from ASEAN nations.
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How Security Concerns fuel the Rise Of the Far-Right in France
Security concerns fueling far-right momentum in France: Unpacking the reasons behind this growing political trend.
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EPIS Basics: Thucydides’ Trap
The text explores Thucydides’ Trap: rising power sparks war. Fear, honor, and interest are key motives for conflict. Creative diplomacy offers a path to escape the trap.
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The Russian Invasion Of Ukraine
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is all but surprising, considering Moscow’s history of aggression against neighbouring countries. In addition, Russia’s expectation of quick success may have contributed to the decision to launch a military operation against Ukraine.
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Security, Communication and the Role of the Police in Germany
Perceived security is influenced by a range of factors, among them work and presence of the police. This article looks at the interplay between law enforcement and society, and particularly examines communication strategies employed by the German police.