Tag: Conflict Prevention
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Policy Paper: The Cost of Unpredictability
Main question: how can policymakers address and navigate current geopolitical situation? Argument: Due to the absence of a central authority in the international system, states must rely on self-help. Conclusion: Policymakers should therefore adopt a hedging strategy by diversifying sector-specific partnerships in critical domains such as energy security, supply chains, and digital infrastructure, as heavy…
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The Global Disorder Cycle
This article asks whether history follows recurring cycles of recession and expansion or unfolds by chance. It argues that downturns reflect a persistent cyclical pattern rather than isolated events, concluding that while these cycles evolve, their underlying logic remains constant.
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Anglophone Conflict in Cameroon
Historical roots driving a neglected conflict Structural silencing keeps the crisis hidden International complicity dims the spotlight further
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Taiwan’s Porcupine Strategy
To what extent does Taiwan’s defence production and external security cooperation enhance the effectiveness of its porcupine strategy in response to escalating Chinese PLA pressure? Both are mutually reinforcing and have produced success, implementation issues mean that the strategy remains a work in progress. Whether Taiwan will be able to effectively respond will depend on…
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The advance of the Hydra
How and why jihadist violence spread to Benin and Togo — Structural weaknesses across the Sahel created power vacuums that terrorist groups like JNIM exploited. Why local populations are vulnerable to recruitment. As the state is largely absent, Jihadist groups fill this gap by acting as alternative governance providers and offering economic incentives. The geopolitical…
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Jihadist expansion across borderlands in the Sahel
JNIM and ISSP are expanding into coastal West Africa to control illicit trade. Regional stability now depends on the new AES Unified Force’s ability to integrate operations with local security and overcome tensions to coordinate regionally.
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Protection of whistleblowers in Europe.
– Protecting whistleblowers is essential for ensuring a correct prosecution of organised crime. Prohibition of retaliation is lets hidden crimes to be unhidden. – How is whistleblowers’ protection reinforced in Europe? – European countries need to improve their efforts in guaranteeing that reporters can done it under proper conditions.
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Escalation
The article explains what military escalation is and how it can help us understand events. In doing so, the contribution presents the dimensions of vertical, horizontal, and political escalation. The concept of escalation cna help evaluate military options and assess their consequences.
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NATO-KFOR’s Deterrence in Northern Kosovo
Is NATO-KFOR effective enough in addressing the security threats Kosovo faces? KFOR either needs reform to better address the ongoing threats facing Kosovo and its institutions, or it should begin a transition to the Kosovo Security Forces (KSF). Urgent need for Kosovo’s Security Framework to evolve and become self-sufficient, ideally through modernising and transforming the…
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The EU as an External Actor in the Armenia-Azerbaijan Conflict
– How effective is the EU as an external actor in the Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict? -The EU’s normative ambitions and soft power engagement are constrained by political divisions, lack of hard security tools, and competition from Russia, Turkey, and the US. -While politically meaningful, EU efforts remain strategically limited; its credibility depends on unity, stronger security…