Category: Security Policy & Defence
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ME Instability & the US-China Power Balance
1: How does the escalation of instability in the Middle East affect the global balance of power between the U.S. and China, and what are the secondary implications for stability in the Indo-Pacific? 2: While the U.S. faces a “credibility gap” as a security provider, China acts as a “free rider,” leveraging M. Eastern energy…
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The Security Dilemma in post-Arab Spring Libya
How did the Arab Spring shape Libya’s long-term political fragmentation and insecurity? The 2011 uprising dismantled weak state institutions, triggering a security dilemma where militias and foreign actors filled the power vacuum, reinforcing division. Libya’s instability persists due to entrenched militia power and external interference, making unified governance and democratic transition unlikely without structural change.
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Beyond Succession
Main question: Do Kim Ju-ae’s appearances signal succession, or something broader about regime strategy? Argument: Her visibility is less about naming a successor than projecting dynastic continuity, strategic confidence, and strengthened legitimacy amid growing military power and ties with Russia/China. Conclusion: This signals a more self-assured North Korea, potentially reducing incentives for diplomatic engagement.
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From Drone Strategy 2.0 To a Trusted EU Drone
Can the EU move from a strong civilian drone framework to achieving air sovereignty through a more security- and defence-oriented drone strategy, and how should it do so without fragmentation? Major structural gaps remain, while increasing securitisation risks undermine innovation and market growth. Achieving true European air sovereignty will depend on closing capability gaps, reducing…
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Interview with BGen Lobel: Rethinking Warfare
War has shifted to inside of Europe, taking place within civilian populations, infrastructure, and networks threatening the whole continent. Military success depends on civilian systems like energy, transport, and private sector logistics NATO integrates civilian and military planning to anticipate risks and ensure operational readiness
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The Sovereignty Gap in Cloud-Based Warfare
This brief explores the relationship between state authorities and tech companies in the context of sovereignty in national defence. It argues that growing reliance on privately-leased AI infrastructure transforms the way sovereignty is exercised, it does not constitute a full transfer of power to corporate actors. The paper concludes that sovereignty today is less about…
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Hormuz Crisis: Economic & Security Risks
-To what extent does the 2026 Hormuz blockade destabilize global economic and MENA security dynamics? -The disruption creates a systemic “endless loop” of energy shortages and 20% price hikes in Asia, sparking global industrial paralysis. Iran exploits this vulnerability through asymmetric tactics to bypass US deterrence and reshape regional power. -The crisis reveals a fractured…
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Arctic Satellite Infrastructure
How does Arctic satellite infrastructure shape strategic, economic and security dynamics? Polar-orbiting satellites and Arctic ground stations create vital data access but also introduce dual-use risks and infrastructure bottlenecks. Expanding Arctic satellite infrastructure requires balancing resilience, security and sustainability through careful planning and governance.
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The EU’s Next Multiannual Financial Framework
– Competitiveness in the next MFF – Spaceshield and new Space capabilities – The defense-industrial dimension of DG DEFIS
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